Publication: The Star
Issued:
Date: 2007-04-07
Reporter: Michael Schmidt
Publication |
The Star
|
Date |
2007-04-07
|
Reporter
|
Michael Schmidt |
Web Link
|
www.thestar.co.za
|
Defence
experts had long warned that the chopper would prove - dare we say it - a turkey, writes Michael Schmidt
It was a case
of Rooivalk Down when Denel failed late last Friday in its desperate bid to rescue its aviation business after Turkey
rejected the attack helicopter in favour of a European competitor.
Defence experts had long warned that the Rooivalk would prove - dare we
say it - a turkey, when pitted against the competition: the not-as-agile
Franco-German Eurocopter Tiger and, especially, the rather light Anglo-Italian
AugustaWestland Mangusta A129 International (the Russian Kamov KA 50/2 Black
Shark is still at the prototype stage).
This is because the Turkish
armed forces fly several other AugustaWestland models, so the synergies with the
Mangusta appeared obvious.
Not so, said Jane's Defence Weekly writer
Helmoed-Römer Heitman: the Rooivalk's engine is the French-made Super
Puma/Cougar powertrain - and Turkey also flies a lot of Cougars. In fact, he
said, the Rooivalk was a superior attack helicopter to the Mangusta - which
appears to be in line to win the bid - because it is a "faster, more agile,
longer-range and more robust aircraft".
If so, why did the Rooivalk lose
this $2-billion (R14,2-billion) deal to supply Turkey with up to 50 attack and
reconnaissance helicopters? Politics and poor
marketing? Heitman asked.
"In the 1990s, South Africa cancelled a
whole bunch of export permits to Turkey because [then deputy defence minister]
Ronnie Kasrils got upset when Turkey arrested a PKK
leader [Abdullah Ocalan] and sentenced him to death.
"This was criminally stupid because Turkey was also interested in the
Rooikat [armoured fighting vehicle], in our ground-based air defences and mine-
protected vehicles in vast quantities. It was a breach of
contract, a betrayal that in Turkish eyes made
us appear unreliable."
And yet the Rooivalk has lost out time and again.
It was notoriously used by the British a few years back as a bargaining chip at the Farnborough air show to reduce the
cost of American Apache attack helicopters.
"Also," Heitman said, "there
is the fact that the Rooivalk has been around for 15 years
and is still not operational, partly because the bottom dropped out of
the defence budget as it made its appearance, and because the SAAF itself wanted
all the money spent on its fighter jet programme instead."
The SAAF is now well on its way to making its 28 Gripen multi-role
fighters operational *1, but with only 12 Rooivalks in service with 16
Squadron in Bloemfontein, its close air-support and ground-attack capabilities
are limited, Heitman believes.
The inevitable eventual deployments of
the Rooivalk in such roles as part of our African peacekeeping missions required
another 12 Rooivalks so that at least 16 are hot-to-go, while others are in
maintenance or being used for training.
The Rooivalk is not the only
arrow in Denel Aviation's quiver: it has especially high hopes for its
fifth-generation A-Darter air-to-air missile (Brazil has expressed interest) and
for its Seeker II aerial unmanned vehicle, a class of remotely piloted drone
that was all the rage at last year's Africa Aerospace and Defence Exhibition in
Cape Town (probably because Israeli UAV targeting had proved so pin-point
accurate in the war on Lebanon a few months earlier).
And yet, despite
Denel CEO Shaun Liebenberg putting on a brave face when announcing the failure
to secure the Turkish deal - saying "we still believe Rooivalk is a world-class
helicopter" and that collaboration with Turkey would continue in missile,
munitions, artillery and landmine-clearance technologies - it certainly will
raise the overall operational expense to the SAAF of flying the Rooivalk.
It has also emphasised that while the South African defence sector has
produced excellent products, notably its mine-protected vehicles such as the
Rooikat, its artillery systems such as the G5 and G6, and its avionics, during
the apartheid era it largely followed the "Japanese model" of building technical
capacity by reverse-engineering what others had already invented. Examples
include:
The Cheetah-C jet fighter, which the Gripens are replacing, was
simply an Israeli Kfir with a few South African avionics and a different radar
and engine, disguised to sidestep the arms embargo;
The Oryx helicopter,
which is essentially a French Puma with a better engine;
The R-1 rifle
was based on the old Belgian FN, while the R-4 and R-5 assault rifles were
knock-offs of the Israeli Galil - and they, ironically, all based their basic
gas-operated mechanism on the trusty AK-47.
And still, despite
presenting a rather "ramshackle" appearance to potential foreign clients like
Turkey, as Heitman put it, Denel soldiers on. This is despite having posted a
loss of R1,6-billion in 2005 (of which the Rooivalk accounted for a third) and
having to be propped up with a R1,5-billion bank guarantee and a R2-billion
recapitalisation at taxpayers' expense.
In June last year, Denel entered
into an agreement with Swedish arms firm Saab to create a new "aerostructures"
company to be initially 80% South African-owned and 20% Swedish-owned - with the
Swedes investing R66-million over the first two years and Denel four times that
amount.
Based at Denel Aviation's facilities at O R Tambo International
Airport and with 600 staff, the new company is expected to generate an initial
annual income of R200-million from work on Saab's Gripen, as well as the Airbus
400M transport, AugustaWestland helicopter and Hawk lead-in-fighter trainer
programmes for the SANDF - plus doing work for Boeing.
But though Denel
and Saab trumpeted the deal as one that would see great skills-transfer to the
beleaguered South African defence industry, with 600
Denel staff being the beneficiaries, defence analyst Leon Engelbrecht cynically
quipped in his unauthorised, unpublished Guide to the SANDF that "Denel existed to keep people employed, not to arm South
Africa".
Last month, Denel announced it had entered into
partnership with German optics company Carl Zeiss, forming Carl Zeiss Optronics
(Pty) Ltd, in which the Germans will have a 70% stake and Denel 30%. With an
initial capitalisation of R60-million over three years, the new company would
produce optical and optical-electronic systems primarily for the security and
defence sector.
But Heitman said last year that the overall trend of foreign buy-in meant both the erosion of South Africa's strategic edge and the downgrading of its industry from a systems-level supplier to that
of a component supplier.
International participation on building
systems component by component is the way the entire world's arms industry is
going (except the Americans, who are largely self-sustaining). Yet Denel's other
big coup last year, the R36-million deal to produce 129-million brass cups for
British firm BAE Land Systems, demonstrates Heitman's point: instead of
producing actual ammunition, Denel was reduced to producing
only the brass cups, the first and most basic stage in manufacturing
cartridges.
A related argument could be made regarding Denel allowing
the United States to produce our world-beating long-range base-bleed artillery
ammunition under licence: though Denel creams the royalties, the knowledge (like
that of our helicopter air filters that saved Desert Storm aircrews in the first
Gulf War) has gone west and will eventually be reverse-engineered there without
any benefit accruing to South Africa.
Heitman said one 16 Squadron
Rooivalk pilot with experience on the Apache said the South African chopper beat
the American competition hands down. But it will take more than the confidence
of combat pilots to get the Rooivalk - and Denel - flying again.
With acknowledgements to Michael Schmidt and The Star.
*1 Nonsense - it will only get its
first Gripen in 2008 and then at a few per year.
The Gripen will be
militarily operational in one squadron in 2012 and a second squadron in
2015.
But the biggest tragedy for the RSA is that the DoD and SANDF have
absolutely no clue of how to manage the indigenous defence industry, including
both Denel and Armscor.
Essentially, the defence industry has one client,
i.e. the SANDF, SAPS and export sales are a tiny bit of cream if one is
lucky.
But it is actually all quite simple :
- traditionally major weapon systems have a lifespan of 20 to 40 years, combat
systems 10 to 20 years and electronic sub-systems 5 to 10 years - so just ensure
that each strategic roleplayer in the business gets a small to medium contract
every 5 to 10 years, a medium to large one every 10 to 20 years and a very large
to gigantic one every 20 to 40 years;
- work all of this into the national defence posture, equipment selection and
logistic support policy;
- ensure that as little as possible equipment acquisition is foreign;
- spend an equitable proportion of the defence budget on capital expenditure
and logistic support (not on 40-year old troopies' salaries and pensions, 200 to
300 generals' salaries, AIDS and transformation nonsense);
- spend a few percent per year of the defence budget on technology
development;
- work in 3 to 5 year expenditure authorisation cycles and not 1 year cycles;
- nurture the small speciality companies;
- ensure that the "Big Four", Denel, African Defence Systems, Reunert Defence
Industries and Saab/Grintek do not vertically integrate their systems products,
but use the best that components that are locally available;
- get Armscor back onto a professional, independent footing focusing entirely
on core business;
- maximise commonality of components, sub-systems and technologies across the
arms of service;
- blacklist all foreign armaments supplier companies and their local
subsidiaries who have been proven on a civil standard of proof to have committed
fraud, corruption, bribery and money laundering anywhere in the world.
Where there's a will, there's a way.