Publication: The Witness Issued: Date: 2008-01-17 Reporter:

Power Meltdown

 

Publication 

The Witness

Date

2008-01-17

Reporter Editorial

Web Link

www.witness.co.za

 


Unexpected electricity outages because of poor infrastructure or inadequate municipal maintenance are now being supplemented by regular load-shedding programmed by Eskom itself as the only way of coping with the yawning gap between supply and demand. The sober reality is that this is to continue, in the country as a whole, for at least another six years, for only then will Eskom have been able to complete sufficient new power stations to handle the increased demand.

The one positive element in this scenario is the expansion of electrical services to many who were unjustly deprived of them before the advent of the new democracy in 1994. In addition, the economy has been growing faster than ever before with commerce and industry making large demands on electrical supply. These developments have been accompanied by an extraordinary lack of foresight on the part of government. Eskom is a state-funded entity and President Thabo Mbeki admitted recently that his government had erred in not agreeing to Eskom's requests for further major funding *1. In a well-established democracy such neglect could be enough to bring a government down or at least cause the resignation *2 of the relevant minister. That does not happen here.

The degree to which electricity load shedding impedes upon public and private enterprise is massive. Businesses are having to make alternative plans in order to survive and to prosper. Large additional expense is involved in the purchase and operation of generators.

State institutions, such as hospitals, are in a similar position and only the most essential services can be covered. What happens to the educational system when generators cannot be afforded by schools? Traffic snarl-ups become routine occurrences, especially at intersections, when traffic lights are not working.

The consequences of this meltdown are almost endless and they are a disturbing sign of a society, so vibrant in some respects, slipping into a lifestyle little short of chaotic.

With acknowledgement to The Witness.



*1       While not directly an Arms Deal story this tragic reality shows the appalling idiocy of Mbeki and his mediocrites.

Indeed mediocre would be a massive commendation for these twerps.

While the Arms Deal is tearing apart the moral fabric of the country, two to three power outages per day of one to three hours each is rearing apart the economy, let alone the other horrific effects on safety and security.

In all likelihood Dingbat has been so busy watching his back after his personal and unlawful Arms Deal interventions, as well as uprisings amongst his electorate, that things like providing power for the people haven't meant anything.

It is instructive to note that this government has effectively been in power for going on 18 years and Mbeki has effectively been head of government the entire time.

Yet they now wake up more than a decade later and find that the country has and a 30% power shortfall.

So it is now going to take another half dozen or so years to alleviate this shortfall.


But something just doesn't quite ring true for me. Suddenly instead of one new nuclear power station and two more coal power stations, Eskom is over the next 20 to 30 years rolling out about 6 new nuclear power stations and more coal power stations, all worth R720 billion or more.

I think that part of the delay has been the ANC and its government finetuning BEE policy as well as the necessary equity in the companies going to be providing this new power generation infrastructure to sustain party funding forever and a day.

They did learn one lesson from the Arms Deal where the BEE interventions were legally premature, stealthy and largely unlawful.

Case in point : what have Lambert Moloi, Yusuf Mohamed, Ian Pierce *3 and Tshepo Molai contributed to either the defence electronics capability or financial prosperity of fellow South Africans *4 since April 2000?


*2      The problem with resignation of the incumbents is the fire after the frying pan.


*3*4    I'm not in particular referring to Chippy Shaik's private bank account with Meriam Ltd.