A report released by the French Senate into the travails of Europe's A400M military transport aircraft programme, in which South Africa is a risk-sharing partner, has revealed that the problems with the programme are greater than previously believed.

On the other hand, the Senate report affirms that the A400M programme is essential for the European aerospace industry and must be preserved.

The report states that there are serious development problems with the aircraft's navigation and low-level flight systems, digital engine controls, horizontal tail surfaces and with the definition of the wing design.

Indeed, it seems that Airbus is proposing an interim standard A400M that would be incapable of undertaking the more sophisticated flight modes planned, until the issues with the avionics have been resolved.

Also, the empty weight of the aircraft has indeed, as had been claimed in the European press, increased by 12 t.

As Airbus is not intending to reduce the A400M's payload capacity of 37 t, this implies that the aircraft's maximum landing weight will have to increase from 122 t to 134 t.

This increased weight may reduce its top speed and is likely to reduce its unrefuelled range, while increasing the length of airstrip needed for taking off and landing.

In real terms, the cost of the A400M programme has increased by some 21% over the past ten years.

According to the original €16-billion contract for the aircraft, signed in December 2001, the A400M was meant to make its first flight in 2006 and start deliveries in 2008.

(This original contract was subsequently amended in 2003, increasing its value to €20-billion).

The aircraft has, however, still not made its first flight, which is now not expected until later this year - although it could even be delayed until next year.

The French Senate report expects that production ramp-up will only happen in 2014, and that it could take until 2020 to eliminate the backlog caused by the various development delays.

The report spreads the blame for the debacle across both governments and industry.

Thus, governments rushed into a poorly structured programme *1, left oversight to a multinational European agency (known as Occar) which had neither the resources nor the authority to fulfill such a role, ignored industry recommendations that €500-million risk-reduction studies be first carried out, and established tight timescales that left no margin for error.

Further, the governments almost guaranteed failure by demanding that the A400M programme involve the parallel development of a new airframe, new engine and new avionics.

For its part, EADS, the parent company of Airbus, failed to grasp just how complicated the programme was.

However, because the programme is seen as crucial to the future of Europe's aerospace industry, the report urges that the contract be renegotiated to save the programme.

The South African companies involved in the A400M are: Denel Saab Aerostructures, Aerosud (both risk-sharing partners), Grintek and Omniples.