Budget constraints are reality but defence force is
ready
South Africa's arms- deal frigates are being deployed to protect
coastal soccer stadiums during the World Cup - but parliament
wants proof that they are capable of doing the job.
'With our capability now, we have sufficient hardware to look
after the World Cup. We don't need anybody to hold our hands'

Floating Their Boat: The SAS Mendi and its crew, above, will
help guard coastal World Cup sites such as Durban's Mabhida
Stadium, right
As concerns mount about a lack of fire-power due to a credit
crunch affecting the military, it emerged this week that
parliament's portfolio committee is still waiting for a World
Cup security briefing.
The briefing was cancelled last month, along with two other
briefings dealing with the general state of the army, navy and
air force.
"We have not seen the guarantees signed between government and
Fifa and we do not know what role the defence force will play
during the World Cup," said defence portfolio committee member
David Maynier. "We have never received the readiness briefings
and we therefore do not know what the capability gaps are for
the defence force, and what risks arise because of that."
Three of the four frigates, that together cost just under
R10-billion, will be deployed during the five-week soccer
tournament, while the fourth is undergoing maintenance.
Crew from the fourth frigate will be used to make up for a staff
shortage on the other vessels, which are due to be deployed off
Cape Town, Durban and Port Elizabeth.
This week the Sunday Times established that:
- The national Treasury recently turned down a special
defence force request for an additional R186-million to
operate its vessels this financial year;
- Defence authorities reported a budget shortfall of
R7.3-billion for the financial year, of which R3.8-billion
was needed for operational costs. The navy shortfall was
R687-million; and
- The defence force revealed that only two of the four
frigates, and one of two new submarines, were "combat ready"
at any given time.
While senior naval officers conceded the frigates could be
better armed, they insisted they were more than ready to deal
with security threats during the soccer tournament.
The navy has been gearing up for several months with full-scale
naval exercises near Simon's Town naval base.
The Sunday Times visited the SAS Mendi, the latest frigate to
arrive from the shipyard in Germany, and found that senior
officers were concerned about the effect of the budget
shortfalls.
But they insisted the fleet was prepared for the biggest
tournament ever hosted in Africa.
"With our capability now, we have sufficient hardware to look
after the World Cup," said Flag Officer Fleet Rear-Admiral Rusty
Higgs. "We don't need anybody to hold our hands."
However, Higgs conceded that budget cuts were a serious
challenge for general naval capability. He said the defence
budget was only 1.2% of the country's gross domestic product
when it should be nearer 2%.
"You can't operate a
technologically advanced military with that type of money *1.
South Africa has to be a responsible player at sea and we
have to operate them (the frigates) to the highest level
possible."
Captain Mickey Girsa, commanding officer of the frigate, SAS
Amatola, said while
the frigates
were not armed to their maximum capability - due to financial
constraints - they did not need to be "monsters" to be
effective.
"We can make them into huge monsters, but we are happy with them
as they are.
For the World Cup
there is nothing that can come as a threat that we can't deal
with *2," Girsa said.
"There is nothing that would fly
towards the stadium that the frigates would not take out."
Meanwhile, military commentators expressed mixed feelings
about the frigates.
There are similar concerns about the SA Air Force's capability,
particularly around the Gripen fighters - which are still being
delivered.
The army has also raised eyebrows with news that only four
infantry companies, about 600 soldiers, will be deployed from
April to defend South Africa's land borders - a fraction of the
1800 required.
Defence experts have backed the military's call for cash.
However, military spending needed to be balanced against
socio-economic needs.
"There's no point in overdoing it. This is not the Falklands,"
said Leon Engelbrecht from DefenceWeb. He said the
frigates were a sensible
deterrent - but were no guarantee against a terrorist attack.
"
If somebody is determined to
carry out a mass attack, you are lucky if you can stop it *4,"
Engelbrecht said.
With acknowledgements to
Bobby Jordan
and Sunday Times.
*1 That is true, but that was
never the intention.
*2 Famous and brave words from mickey mouse.
He will shit himself stupid if he gets a call to action that a
bandit is approaching The Cape Town Stadium at 650 knots from a
direction over False Bay and just behind The Twelve Apostles and
there's just 18 seconds to impact.
*3 The frigate has 90% probability of
hardkill with its Umkontho surface-to-air-missile if the target
flies directly over it. It will have a 0% probability of
softkill because the bandit pilots will only be thinking about
nookie in heaven while shouting Allahu Akbar.
If the target is flying between 2 kiloyards and 12 kiloyards
distant, the frigate will have a probability of hardkill of
between 40% and 0%
*4 If somebody is determined to carry out
even single attack against an area target, you can be grateful
if you can stop it with a ship with a point defense system.